Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

The Game Theorists
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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of ESvid centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman


Publicado el


17 ene 2021






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Comentarios 100
Dragon2008Gamer Hace 2 horas
Not Minecraft one dood onesix Minecraft one dood sixteen!
Reaper Z
Reaper Z Hace 2 horas
So many people are saying: "Oh but it's IMPOSSIBLE to prove that dream 100% cheated! And thus I believe that he didn't!" In the comment section, as if this is the conclusion that MatPat concluded. Dude, with that kind of argument, people can say "I got struck by lightning 100x in a row and survived, and since you can't 100% proove that I cheated, it clearly means that I didn't". It's heavily flawed logic, it's really just objectively wrong.
Nightcloud36 Hace 2 horas
I gotta admit, I absolutely love Dream and I can admit that he probably did cheat though I nervous about saying I like him because everyone is just going to say I'm a Dream stan. I'm not, I like him for everything else he does that doesn't correspond with his speed runs. It's messed up that he didn't admit to cheating if he did (which is quite likely) but everyone has done at least one stupid thing and not admitted to it. Why can't we appreciate the other things he does instead like the SMP? I'm just not going to watch his speed runs but I'll watch his other things. Dream is a great youtuber and he shouldn't be defined by this flaw- Just my thoughts, everyone is entitled to their own opinions! ^^
HhsduOP Hace 2 horas
Matpat got 8th on trending noice
bruh Hace 2 horas
My kemistry teacher is really good
Nathan Le
Nathan Le Hace 2 horas
So did dream cheat ?
Danielle Scorgie
Danielle Scorgie Hace 2 horas
If people want to run the category, they can. "This category is bad." is a weird conclusion.
Itsuki Cheng
Itsuki Cheng Hace 2 horas
If everyone had the same seed to do during the same tournament it would be good that’s what Rubik’s cube tournaments do
Nightmare Hace 2 horas
I honestly don’t care if he cheated or not. I’m sick of the drama. It’s so annoying.
MUTANT15 Hace 2 horas
I have a question that still in my head, what about the top three or five players that are better then dreams speedrun how come no one talks about them and they only blame dream and even analyze if his speedrun is not cheating instead of the top 1 player? Edit: hope you can answer this matpat if not who will, Im not saying the top players are cheating, im saying why they where never talked about.
Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW
they are not talked about becuse they did not cheat, dream was not talked about (in seans of speadrunning) becuse he did not cheat
gami boss
gami boss Hace 3 horas
Hey matpat what is Multy player in minecraft? Is it the time before the wither or is it the future. A future where Steve dint fight the ender dragon and make a family?
Cody Crew
Cody Crew Hace 3 horas
Flipping a coin ten times and getting 7+ heads
InstantBrainwave Hace 3 horas
Thanks for creating such great video and they are amazing and wonderful. I love the brainwave music and hope more people can enjoy it too.
tina and Elly
tina and Elly Hace 3 horas
So post teen mean and adopt me yes Roblox adopt me Roblox is a game but matpat keeps talking about everything else ;-;
LodanSD Hace 3 horas
If you look at Speedruns for Zelda Wind Waker, you would notice that people have figured out how to assess certain values in order to guarantee a specific result for Rupee Drops, maybe he's figured out the proper dance to bend NPCs to his will
Zi Xiong
Zi Xiong Hace 3 horas
did dream cheat? mat: well let's talk about the purpose and meaning of speedrunning.
Anthony Valencia
Anthony Valencia Hace 3 horas
*roasts yt trending tab* *is #2 on yt trending tab*
Valmerix Hace 3 horas
might wanna change ur picture
ReflexivoArco Hace 3 horas
Who say ,, Minecraft one point one six'' instead ,,Minecraft one sixteen''?
BeepDuck Hace 3 horas
idk about the quiz thing, because in the first one there only needs to be 2 abnormalities (outside of expected results) whereas in the second there needs to be 10, but it is a lot less likely to get perfect normalities in the second one because it is one number out of 100 possibilities. This is probably all wrong cos i know nothing about probability but i’m just writing my thought process.
BeepDuck Hace 3 horas
i was almost right
ichi1082 Hace 3 horas
I'm so sorry I have to say it like that but your take towards the end is the worst you could possibly have. The category exists because the community wants it to exist, people run it. No one is forcing Dream to run a category he perceives as broken and instead of cheating he could have just chosen to, uhm, I don't know.. just not run it?
Ivy Oh
Ivy Oh Hace 3 horas
Dream Minecraft; will this finally be the milkable topic to replace the endless stream of fnaf game theory videos? Lol probably not.
Brown Magic
Brown Magic Hace 3 horas
So what i got from this is at the end of the day math and statistics can really only give a "its very unlikely, but not impossible" type of answer to things
MelecieDiancie Hace 3 horas
what i came for: info that may make dream innocent what i learned: celeste room randomizer should be a speedrun
MelecieDiancie Hace 2 horas
@levi Ackerman i do know that, i've seen the responses of the mod team, dream, ant, karl, mfb, and this and reasons why dream cheated heavily outweigh the counterresponses. i'm just here to see if there would be arguments for dream and any counterresponses to those, as i like to take both sides' arguments
levi Ackerman
levi Ackerman Hace 3 horas
Dream cheated face it the guy dream hired told that the drop rates were modified intentionally​ or unintentionally
Thanos Hace 3 horas
Analysis but the ysis is silent
Honey_ tea
Honey_ tea Hace 3 horas
18:52 who else thought that the blue side is bigger then the red side???
Johann Alyosha Van Tassel
everyone: wants to know if dream cheated matpat: *heres a document preparation software called Latex*
Ian Michael
Ian Michael Hace 3 horas
23:30 seconds to not answer the question and say Minecraft shouldn’t have a record board for speed running. Yes the record board made him cheat
Cryptic Corgi
Cryptic Corgi Hace 3 horas
8:20 *_It is the first option is more likely._* Being correct _7 out of 10_ times is *7/10.* But _60 out of 100_ is *6/10.*
ichigo kurosaki
ichigo kurosaki Hace 3 horas
Listen the king's sacrifice is the best chess move in the history of humanity No one care about dream cheating
Jack Of Astora
Jack Of Astora Hace 3 horas
Actual answer: Yes The answer we got: And that’s why tf2 is a bad game. Wait what video is this again?
Arbiter Hace 3 horas
Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW
yes dream cheated
Crypter Coder
Crypter Coder Hace 3 horas
Matpat could you do a video about the scps
Vocaloid Flower Girl 2000
Okay random statement but robert do be sounding like Saiki K and kyo ifykyk
Khawar Parvez
Khawar Parvez Hace 3 horas
So did he cheat?
Elliot Manley
Elliot Manley Hace 3 horas
Jewelry me ñø
Jaguario Hace 3 horas
as a speedrunner myself, i have no problem with a speedrun being based around luck. Many games have to be speedrun that way and still are. Peoplespeedrun those games because they enjoy it and there's no point contesting the way that games are speedrun if people enjoy it. but that competitive speedrunning thing would be really cool
Jose Pio
Jose Pio Hace 3 horas
how did he predict it would go to the ESvid trending tab he is a wizard
Honey_ tea
Honey_ tea Hace 3 horas
8:20 ide say the first option becouse when you flip a coin 10 times to get heads in 7 times is like flipping a coin 100 times to get 70 heads there is no differences in there the only difference is that the second option is more specific
stephane pasquer
stephane pasquer Hace 3 horas
Orange Sl1me
Orange Sl1me Hace 3 horas
My answer for the question around 8:30 is that neither of them are more likely, their both 50/50 because no matter how many times you flip a coin the outcome come will always be either heads or tails. Thank you for listening to my ted talk. Edit: I just realised what the question was......
Sean French
Sean French Hace 3 horas
60 heads
Callan Wesson
Callan Wesson Hace 3 horas
Razgy Mic
Razgy Mic Hace 3 horas
The amount of work in this video is insane
DS .V Hace 3 horas
Mr beast is buying the whole store in the background lol
jose Homshaw
jose Homshaw Hace 3 horas
DERPY DUDE Hace 3 horas
9:55 #4 on trending *face palms*
ehehehrhehr no
ehehehrhehr no Hace 3 horas
matpat makes fun of yt trending page matpat ends up on trending
Natlibuz Hace 3 horas
lil zerkso
lil zerkso Hace 3 horas
All your videos makes me think hard and am intrigued
MainZ Hace 3 horas
This video is on the ESvid trending tab 😂
InfoBlues Hace 3 horas
I will save you 23 minutes: You dont get the answer in this video.......he rather talks about how minecraft 1.16 speedrunning is broken
31-Rishit Jain
31-Rishit Jain Hace 3 horas
I will save you 23 minutes: You dont get the answer in this video.......he rather talks about how minecraft 1.16 speedrunning is broken
Dosant Hace 3 horas
This is your most lazy video yet Mat, you literally didnt add anything or answer the question in YOUR TITLE OF THE VIDEO. Disappointing.
Ragib Nihal Tonmoy
Ragib Nihal Tonmoy Hace 3 horas
ZeGamerWolf Hace 3 horas
Where is the last Petscop theory???????
Eagle Power
Eagle Power Hace 3 horas
so dream is just some luck god, okay.
DonutLover Gaming
DonutLover Gaming Hace 3 horas
I would like my own minecraft speedrunner monkey
Clarissa M
Clarissa M Hace 3 horas
I love the conclusion.
CandyPop Hace 3 horas
My question is WHY would they make speedrunning a big competition? Like it’s just gonna start drama (for example: the Dream drama) AND who cares! Speedrunning should be made for fun! Not something that should be taken very seriously! It’s like a middle school gym sport fight of “OH BRUHHH WE COULD HAVE WON!!!” “BRUHHH THEY CHEATED” “BRUHHH YOU SUCK” Like- Dudes- Chill- Please-
CandyPop Hace 2 horas
@yunus ahmet yılmaz ohhh! Oh nonononono I was talking to the people who make speedrunning a big competitive thing like middle schoolers in gym fighting. My apologies, misread that. Speedrunning actually looks fun to do! It’s just I don’t like that people would make such a big deal over it (And cause drama) (Also it’s 6:55 am for me and I haven’t slept AT ALL yea again my apologies)
yunus ahmet yılmaz
yunus ahmet yılmaz Hace 3 horas
@CandyPop you didn't just say what you tought about speedrunnig you spat on people who speedrun because your fetus head can't understand their motivations
CandyPop Hace 3 horas
@yunus ahmet yılmaz wow can I not say what I just think about the speedrunning situation? Wow I’m so hurt •- •
yunus ahmet yılmaz
yunus ahmet yılmaz Hace 3 horas
Why would they make marathon competitive either its like just swim for fun no need for competitive smh.... This is how you sound
LoZTwilight Hace 3 horas
Well that was an utter waste of time, how did this get 238k likes. it's beating around the bush for 75% of the video..
Don RUBIX Hace 3 horas
Buuuh Dream 🤮🤮 im 1 mllion times better than him at Minecraft ‼️🤌
Frack YT
Frack YT Hace 3 horas
TheHockyeBox Hace 3 horas
I know this is a pointless detail but you should express percent numbers as rounded up and not just show the first two decimal places, the probability of getting >51% heads with 10000 tosses is sum k=0 to 4900 (10000 choose 5100+k) * 2^(-10000) = 0.0232928 otherwise good video
• Violet Dumplings •
It really did get on the ESvid trending tab- damn.
Patricks Hace 3 horas
do a genshin impact theory
Clint McGill
Clint McGill Hace 3 horas
I can hear one of my cs professors saving "it's not pronounced the same as latex the material..."
Queen Pendragon
Queen Pendragon Hace 3 horas
Fantastic editing as usual! Lol also thanks for the math lesson, Mat, I don't know that I needed it or that it'll stick, but for the moment I feel smarter!
Dorian Dias
Dorian Dias Hace 3 horas
Lol it did end up on the ESvid trending page
Jatin sehrawat
Jatin sehrawat Hace 3 horas
the thing that there were chances of it being in 1 in a 7.5 trillion but it was still feasible... and thats maths you can't connect everything with statics 7.5 trillion is just a small number when you see it in terms of how many seed are possible.. if there are broken seed possible in quadrillions and people still found them..that conditon of ender pearls and blaze rods is feasible... conclusion on my terms: even if it was 1 in a 7.5 trillion it was feasible and running 7.5 trillion simulations don't actually mean that this will happen in those 7.5 trillion because we dont have a exaact number to count from which these possibilities are possible... they made him suspect and run numbers on him... and their evidence didn't have a concrete truth it was just mere possibilities.. they didn't searched his minecraft coda... and on based on possibilities it can't be verified that he cheated.. i mean my existence in 1 in 8.9 billion but i still exist :D.. take it like that and that is for every single of person on this planet so 8.9 billion powered by 8.9 billion thats a quite large number and we still exist as a indvidual... simple high school maths.. i don't know if he cheated or not but idk it dont seem like he did
yunus ahmet yılmaz
yunus ahmet yılmaz Hace 3 horas
Yo stop copy pasting this on random videos. It's honestly pathetic especially considering how stupid this comment is You are sooo misinformed it isnt even funny. His chances aren't 1 in 7.5 trillion it is 1 in 20 sextillion. 1 in 7.5 trillion is the chances of Amy speedrunner ever getting as lucky as dream after accounting for biases. Secondly the chances of you being here being 8.6 billion is meaningless because the reason that number is high is completely different from this. For example winning the lottery is a very low chance but no matter what someone will win the lottery. The 8.6 billion is the nearly same as this.
Crazycuko187 Hace 3 horas
He means yes... I think..
{•ShadøwZ•} Hace 3 horas
Just some steering wheel
Did dream cheat? Yes Now you don't have to watch the video which doesn't actually give you the answer
Leon Almond
Leon Almond Hace 3 horas
No he didn’t there ya go
Magnogen Hace 3 horas
tp .y.
tp .y. Hace 3 horas
please do a game theory episode on omori!
Berislav Furač
Berislav Furač Hace 3 horas
xeniabruh Hace 3 horas
Ealvarez Gaming
Ealvarez Gaming Hace 4 horas
Dude why you gotta clickbait like that?
Travis Sadler
Travis Sadler Hace 4 horas
South African Lotto ticket :O
Shrt Mato_99
Shrt Mato_99 Hace 4 horas
Number 1 trending lmao
Michael E
Michael E Hace 4 horas
I mean 7
username not found
username not found Hace 4 horas
Don’t waste your time he doesn’t answer the question
Michael E
Michael E Hace 4 horas
I meant to say 70
G M P Hace 4 horas
Imagine spitting on an entire community just to try save the image of one individual. How much did Dream pay?
What A Weirdo
What A Weirdo Hace 2 horas
@G M P fair enough tbh, also I stg I'm not a stan
G M P Hace 2 horas
@What A Weirdo I agree that I said the pay part just for the purposes of spicing up the comment
What A Weirdo
What A Weirdo Hace 3 horas
Imagine not looking at odds, I mean, hes just trying to explain his theory. Maybe he shouldn't have shat on speed running, but you really think that dream played him to say ehh, why speedrun?
Yuki Mizuki
Yuki Mizuki Hace 4 horas
No offense, mediocre content, overly edited, poorly made, click baited and you barely went over anything
JamesPlayz Hace 4 horas
Simon Tracer
Simon Tracer Hace 4 horas
It's ironic that with a smaller amount of times tried the numbers seem to go more probable. And I honestly missed the point if he said definitive yes he did cheat or no he did not. It seems pretty much like he said dreams luck could have been just a happenstance that was misunderstood and overreacted to. But seriously how many of those speed runs or how many Potter trades have people actually witnessed besides dreams. How lucky is as when you honestly push the numbers up on the barter trades you are guaranteed to get Pearl at some point and to the game it doesn't matter when that point is so it could just as much give you something good or not. Fun fact in Mario Bros speed run the time that you end the course on could activate a very specific end-of-level fireworks display or if you were slightly slower you would not activate that fireworks and move ahead faster. That is a built-in highly unrecognizable jump in speed unless you're looking for it.
Happy Thoughts
Happy Thoughts Hace 4 horas
Milking this aren't you. We need less of people like you around
DJ Ling
DJ Ling Hace 4 horas
Imma be honest, cheater or not, IT'S SIMPLE ENTERTAINMENT.
SniffersMc Hace 4 horas
Finally, knowledge of latex is usefull for something other than writing a CV
Josh Taylor
Josh Taylor Hace 4 horas
he really do be milkin it
Billy 1
Billy 1 Hace 4 horas
I think we all need to go outside
CatGoneMad! Hace 4 horas
Lol it ended up on 4 trending
Sceonaid Dover
Sceonaid Dover Hace 4 horas
Click bait
Robotboy 64x
Robotboy 64x Hace 3 horas
Misleading, but clickbait? Ehhhh.... I dunno.
firenox GD
firenox GD Hace 3 horas
Masterblader158 Hace 4 horas
Given ESvid sets what's trending, or at least moderates it, it's no surprise that a video that mocks being on it got put on it. Good as it may force the part 2 where he actually answers the question... But Matpat has left some part 2's on the burner for years.
Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti
I got 11 ender pearls and i gave it 1 gold but 🍑 i beleave you
Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti
@levi Ackerman idk but it happened
levi Ackerman
levi Ackerman Hace 3 horas
stop lying an 2-4 enderpearl can only be obtained in one bartering
Bruno Blake
Bruno Blake Hace 4 horas
it actually is on the trending page lol
Umar Amin lone BBA-29
Son you know nothing about regression
Degee Paul Sericon
Degee Paul Sericon Hace 4 horas
The theorist is not real :0
allison moya
allison moya Hace 4 horas
Bed recognize desperate explain stretch vehicle fifteen everyone repair.
A continuación
Henry VIII - OverSimplified